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 November 13, 2015 - 11:00 AM EST
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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico Declines

NEW YORK, Nov. 13, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico declined 0.2 percent in September to 98.3 (2010 = 100), following a 1.5 percent decline in August, and a 1.3 percent decline in July.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Mexico, a measure of current economic activity, increased 0.3 percent in September to 117.4 (2010 = 100), following a 0.5 percent increase in August, and a 0.3 percent increase in July.

The LEI for Mexico fell for the fifth consecutive month in September. As a result, the six-month change in the LEI remains negative and the rate of decline has fallen deeper into negative territory. At the same time, the CEI continues to grow at a relatively steady pace. Taken together, the marginal improvements in the CEI combined with the persistent declines in LEI suggest that Mexico's rate of economic expansion is unlikely to improve in coming months.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Mexico
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The six components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Mexico include:

Industrial Production, Construction Component 
Stock Prices 
U.S. Refiners' Acquisition Cost of Domestic and Imported Crude Oil 
Net Insufficient Inventories 
Federal Funds Rate 
Real Exchange Rate

For more information including full press release and technical notes: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=8

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators: 
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board 
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.

 

Summary Table of Composite Indexes




2015




6-month


Jul


Aug


Sep


Mar to Sep










Leading index

100.0


98.5


98.3

p



  Percent Change

-1.3

r

-1.5


-0.2

p

-4.2

p

  Diffusion

25.0

r

25.0


41.7


25.0











Coincident Index

116.4


117.0

r

117.4

p



  Percent Change

0.3


0.5

r

0.3

p

1.8

p

  Diffusion

100.0


100.0


100.0


100.0











n.a.  Not available     p  Preliminary     r  Revised





Indexes equal 100 in 2010








Source:  The Conference Board               All Rights Reserved




 

To view the original version on PR Newswire, visit:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/the-conference-board-leading-economic-index-lei-for-mexico-declines-300178449.html

SOURCE The Conference Board


Source: PR Newswire (November 13, 2015 - 11:00 AM EST)

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