May 10, 2017 - 9:25 AM EDT
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Electric Car Technology and Forecasts 2017-2027

Dublin, May 10, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Research and Markets has announced the addition of the "Electric Car Technology and Forecasts 2017-2027" report to their offering.

The report finds a huge market emerging for the cheapest, easiest way of converting existing production of cars to keep them legal as new global warming laws bite. This is the 48V mild hybrid: it will also peak in the next fifteen years but, before that, it will transmogrify into a hugely popular form of electric vehicle by becoming capable of several pure electric modes with engine off. The Mercedes broad move to 48V MH in 2017 is only part of this story.

The report's sober look at the detail reveals surprising aspects not popularly reported. For example, Fiat Chrysler is a laggard in EVs but they convinced us they are a leader in 48V MH. Why has Toyota just done a U turn on pure electric cars? Timing is all in this game.

The analysis reveals when Energy Independent Vehicles EIV become significant, not least as cars. It exposes the world of LIDAR, RADAR, cameras, software and so on for autonomy with their relative importance changing rapidly. The price trends are dramatic.

Is there a hare and tortoise story here with Tesla terrifying the industry by becoming the Apple of automotive but acquiring major quality and financial challenges? Volkswagen and Daimler have become ambivalent about fuel cell cars and Toyota has just decided to go big on pure electric, in a change of emphasis. Hyundai say they are the end game, Honda says they are an important option and yet others call them "fool" cells. Who is right? Will the Chinese flood the world with half-price basic electric cars? When?

It is very important that readers escape the evangelism of so many commentators and access the sober analysis of companies. For example, it breaks all the rules of safe manufacturing to radically change your product while increasing production one hundredfold yet we show how that is exactly what is happening with the lithium-ion batteries. Battery fires and explosions are ongoing but some car and battery makers have a superb record.

Forecasts should not presume everything goes right. The anode, cathode, electrolyte and format are changing in a headlong race to smaller size and weight, less cooling and non-flammability. Only the author forecasts the numbers and dollars in nine categories of cars and car-like vehicles because it is plain silly to conflate 3 wheelers, golf cars and fuel cell cars with others.

Key Topics Covered:

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. Purpose and definitions
1.2. Primary conclusions
1.3. Changing the world
1.4. Relevant megatrends beyond pollution
1.5. Why electric cars are chosen
1.5.1. Examples of market pull
1.5.2. Examples of market push:
1.6. Electric car technology choices and trends
1.6.1. End game is not as popularly portrayed
1.6.2. From range anxiety to range superiority
1.6.3. Electric car powertrain evolution
1.6.4. Key enabling technologies by powertrain
1.6.5. Increasing importance of power electronics: proliferation and enhancement
1.7. Why have autonomy?
1.7.1. Many autonomous car trials
1.7.2. Relative importance of powertrain and autonomy hardware markets 2017-2037
1.7.3. BMW view of commoditisation of autonomous car hardware to 2021
1.8. Evolution of battery energy density and cost
1.9. No steady progress to fewer components
1.9.1. Importance of benchmarking beyond cars
1.10. Mayhem in the car market
1.10.1. Growth to collapse: pure electric and commercial prevail number K
1.10.2. Escape routes for car makers and parts suppliers facing reducing sales 2030
1.11. Market forecasts for cars and car-like vehicles
1.11.1. Car categories characterised
1.11.2. Car market dynamics by sector
1.11.3. Global forecasts by number thousand, 2017-2027
1.11.4. Global forecasts by ex-factory price $k 2017-2027
1.11.5. Global forecasts by market value $ billion 2017-2027
1.11.6. Top five EV value markets 2017
1.11.7. Top five EV value markets 2027
1.12. Historic market data
1.12.1. Cars 2014-6 by powertrain and region Number K
1.12.2. Light vehicle plug-in by country to Sept 2016 cumulative and annual, per person
1.12.3. NEV China and other countries 2011-2015
1.13. Other analyst's views and manufacturer targets
1.14. League table of EV manufacturers 2017 $ billion
1.15. Battery vs fuel cell assessment end 2016
1.16. Premium pure electric cars in 2017

2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. What, where?
2.2. Technologies
2.3. Lessons past, present and future
2.4. Car demand: 15 year view
2.5. Examples of policy support mechanisms for plug-in electric cars
2.6. Territorial differences

3. THE CHINA CAR PHENOMENON
3.1. Largest car market, government driven
3.2. Chinese car manufacturers coming up fast
3.3. Car market drivers in China
3.4. U turn on hybrids HEV that do not plug in
3.5. Types of car manufacturing competitor

4. CAR POWERTRAINS
4.1. Overview: from range anxiety to range superiority
4.2. Choosing car powertrains
4.3. Influence of new ownership and business models
4.3.1. Ownership changes affect powertrains
4.4. Impact of autonomous driving on powertrains
4.5. Future powertrain options
4.6. Where cars are headed in 2030
4.7. Common enablers
4.8. Powertrain parameter priorities
4.9. Disruptive and incremental change
4.10. Death of the strong hybrid HEV that does not plug in?
4.11. Car manufacturer powertrain priorities 2016-2030
4.12. Primary trends powertrains 2017-2037
4.13. Powertrain timeline 2016-2036
4.14. Car low carbon technology roadmap
4.15. Influence of legislation - examples

5. STRONG HYBRID ELECTRIC POWERTRAINS
5.1. Strong "Full" Hybrid Electric Vehicles
5.2. Strong hybrid configurations
5.3. PHEV models then pure electric PEV
5.4. Series hybrid
5.5. Parallel hybrid
5.6. Some series and parallel hybrid variants
5.7. Toyota viewpoint
5.8. Plug in option: Porsche assessment
5.8.1. Example Peugeot 2016
5.9. Comparison of storage and range extender options
5.10. Range extenders in context
5.11. Fuel cells for traction
5.12. Gas turbines, rotary combustion, free piston range extenders

6. PURE ELECTRIC VEHICLE PEV
6.1. Architecture
6.2. Powertrain: Peugeot
6.3. Nissan, Renault, Tesla, Volkswagen and trends
6.4. Trend in number and position of traction motors.
6.5. Energy storage issues
6.6. Charging

7. ENERGY INDEPENDENT CARS
7.1. EIV operational choices
7.2. Key EIV technologies
7.3. Hanergy EIV cars in 2020 with GaAs photovoltaics
7.4. Immortus EIV car Australia
7.5. Stella Lux passenger car Netherlands
7.6. Car-like commercial EIV shows the way
7.7. Car-like Lizard tourist bus shows the way

8. SOME OF THE KEY ENABLING TECHNOLOGIES
8.1. The key enabling technologies are changing
8.2. New electric powertrains will often be more complex
8.3. Energy storage

9. ROTATING ELECTRICAL MACHINES AND THEIR CONTROLS
9.1. Jargon buster
9.2. Typical electric car powertrain components and needs
9.2.1. Toyota compact car powertrain
9.2.2. Differences in need
9.3. Great improvements in traction motors with their controls are both needed and possible
9.4. Move to integration including in-wheel
9.5. Car motor systems for wider application/ volume
9.6. REM technologies performance in powertrains:
9.7. Toyota: Big Gains from Downsizing PM Motor for 2016-7 models
9.8. Move to more than one REM per car
9.9. Effect of move to plug-in EVs: Porsche analysis
9.10. Technology choices


10. ENERGY HARVESTING INCLUDING REGENERATION
10.1. Energy harvesting: the new key enabling technology
10.2. Features of energy harvesting
10.3. Market drivers for energy harvesting
10.4. EH transducer options compared for all applications
10.5. Energy harvesting choices increase for cars
10.6. EH technology choice by intermittent power generated
10.7. EH transducer readiness compared: external vs regen
10.8. Experimental EH transducer options compared with the four winners so far
10.9. Powerful new EH inputs handled even with 48V Mild Hybrid

11. MEGATREND: STRUCTURAL ELECTRONICS

12. AUTONOMY TECHNOLOGIES
12.1. Terminology
12.2. Demand for autonomous cars
12.3. Convergence of technologies and new challenges
12.4. Technology of autonomous cars: Delphi Tesla Mobileye
12.5. LIDAR RADAR camera compared
12.6. Current players in car autonomy

Companies Mentioned

- Audi
- Borg Warner
- Eaton
- Fiat
- GKN
- IAV
- IFEVS
- LIDAR
- Mitsubishi
- Oerlikon
- Pi Innovo
- Porsche
- Protean
- Tesla
- Toyota
- UQM
- Xtrac
- Yasa Motors

For more information about this report visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/hjmczd/electric_car



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         Related Topics: Cars, Telematics and Vehicle Electronics, Electric and Hybrid Vehicles

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Source: GlobeNewswire (May 10, 2017 - 9:25 AM EDT)

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