Global Diesel Engine Technology Roadmap for Heavy-Duty Trucks, 2019 to 2023 - ResearchAndMarkets.com
The "Global
Diesel Engine Technology Roadmap for Heavy-Duty Trucks" report
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Greenhouse gas/fuel efficiency regulations in TRIAD countries and
increasingly stringent tailpipe emission standards in developing
countries will shape the powertrain strategies of OEMs over the next
decade. This study provides an overview of key future fuel efficiency
and tailpipe emission regulations across different regions for
heavy-duty commercial vehicles.
North America is adopting GHG regulations and will next focus on ultra
NOx regulations (medium-term). Europe has developed a tool for CO2
monitoring and will soon implement GHG regulations. India will shift
from BS IV to BS VI (equivalent to the Euro VI) by 2020; it will have a
fuel efficiency regulation in place from 2018. China will shift to China
VI in 2 phases - 2020 and 2023; Phase 3 fuel efficiency regulations will
be implemented in 2023.
These regulations will augment the penetration of advanced diesel engine
technologies such as advanced turbochargers, automated manual
transmission, advanced after treatment systems, and electrification. In
addition, novel engine architecture such as opposed-piston engines,
split-cycle engines, double compression expansion engines, and the
Miller cycle will be explored to improve the brake thermal efficiency of
diesel engines.
Falling battery prices, broader incentive policies, and charging
infrastructure developments will boost the trend of electrification.
Battery pack prices are expected to fall below $100 per kWh by 2023,
with high battery production capacities of 250+ GWh globally. With
growing battery availability and technology-readiness, fully electric
vehicles will gain prominence and will be largely used across all
regions by 2025. OEMs have also announced plans to manufacture electric
trucks and range-extended powertrain. Fuel cell technology will gain
prominence after 2022 due to the advantages of reduced component weight
and packaging size.
North American OEMs have commercialized most technological advancements
from the SuperTruck I program, and a strong push for electrification
across major OEMs and EV start-ups is being observed. European OEMs are
shifting to vertically integrated engines and transmission with
proprietary turbochargers, and these facilitate precise control over
vehicle drivetrain. As part of powertrain diversification, OEMs are
focusing on proprietary natural gas engines and EV platforms.
Chinese OEMs are leveraging technology partnerships with European OEMs
and engine research institutes to upgrade diesel engines to meet
upcoming regulations. Further, government incentives are driving rapid
progress in electrification across different Chinese OEMs. Indian OEMs
are adopting a two-pronged approach by improving in-house engine
platforms and sourcing advanced diesel engine technologies from tier 1
engine suppliers, Japanese OEMs, and European engine research institutes.
Research Highlights
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Provide a strategic overview of the regional regulations that control
emission and help to improve fuel efficiency and quality in North
America, Europe, China, and India
-
Discuss the technology penetration of advanced powertrain technologies
across rigid and tractor vehicles
-
Provide a technology outlook of the advanced diesel engine
technologies used in HD vehicles
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Furnish a strategic overview of electrification uptake across HD
vehicles
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Discuss powertrain outlook, penetration, and technology deep dive of
global HD OEMs
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Provide strategic recommendations and conclusions for OEMs in the HD
truck market
Key Issues Addressed
-
What are the key tailpipe emission and fuel efficiency and economy
regulations shaping the dynamics of the powertrain strategies of
global OEMs?
-
What is the technology penetration of advanced power train
technologies across rigid and tractor vehicles in North America,
Europe, China, and India?
-
What is the technology outlook of advanced diesel engine technologies?
-
What are the key developments in terms of the electrification of
global HD trucks?
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What are the key powertrain strategies of global HD truck OEMs?
Companies Mentioned
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Ashok Leyland
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Cummins Inc.
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Daimler AG
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Hino Motors Ltd.
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Isuzu Motors Limited
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Iveco
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Navistar Inc.
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Paccar Inc.
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Tata Motors
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Volvo
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VW Group (ManSE)
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VW Group (Scania)
Topics Covered
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Key Takeaways
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Diesel Engine Powertrain Trends for 2025 and Beyond
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HD Vehicle Emission Regulations Outlook
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GHG/Fuel Economy Regulations Outlook
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HD Truck Powertrain Overview
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Diesel versus Electric Long-Haul Truck TCO Comparison
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Global Powertrain Mix - Unit Shipment Snapshot
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Technology Penetration versus Region-Tractor Segment
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Key OEM Diesel Powertrain Strategies
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Regulatory Environment and OEM Compliance Strategy
2. RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, BACKGROUND AND METHODOLOGY
-
Research Scope
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Research Aims and Objectives
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Key Questions this Study will Answer
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Research Background
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Research Methodology
3. DEFINITIONS
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Definitions of Key Technologies
4. GLOBAL EMISSION AND FUEL ECONOMY AND QUALITY REGULATORY
ENVIRONMENT
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Global Regulations - Tailpipe and Fuel Economy and Quality
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Global Tractor Truck Standards for CO2 Reduction
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Global Emission Regulation Limits
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Powertrain Technologies for Fuel Efficiency Improvements
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Technology Fuel Consumption Reduction Potential - Class 8 Line-Haul
Tractor
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Technology Fuel Consumption Reduction Potential: Class 8 Line-Haul
Tractor-Engine Technology
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Technology Penetration versus Region - Tractor and Rigid
5. ADVANCED DIESEL ENGINE TECHNOLOGY OVERVIEW
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Engine Technology Packages and Effective Fuel Consumption Reduction
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Technology Outlook - Waste Heat Recovery
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Technology Outlook - Miller Cycle in Engines: Scania
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Technology Outlook - Split Cycle Engine: Ricardo
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Technology Outlook - Double Compression Expansion Engine: Volvo
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Technology Outlook - Opposed Piston Engine: Achates Power
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Technology Outlook - Multi-functional SCR - DPF After treatment Systems
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Technology Outlook - 48V System Design
6. POWERTRAIN REGULATORY AND TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - NORTH AMERICA
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Regulatory Environment - North America
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GHG and Fuel Economy Standards - North America
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CARB Ultra-Low NOx Regulations - Impact on Powertrain
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North American Powertrain Mix - Unit Shipment Snapshot
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Ultra-Low Nox - Enabling Technologies
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Technology Penetration - Rigid Trucks: North America
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Technology Penetration - Tractor Trucks: North America
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OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers - North America
7. POWERTRAIN REGULATORY AND TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - EUROPE
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Regulatory Environment - Europe
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HD Vehicle CO2 Standards - Europe
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European Powertrain Mix - Unit Shipment Snapshot
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Technology Penetration - Rigid Trucks: Europe
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Technology Penetration - Tractor Trucks: Europe
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OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers - Europe
8. POWERTRAIN REGULATORY AND TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - CHINA
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Regulatory Environment - China
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China's Fuel Efficiency Standards
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Chinese Powertrain Mix - Unit Shipment Snapshot
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Technology Penetration - Rigid Trucks: China
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Technology Penetration - Tractor Trucks: China
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OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers - China
9. POWERTRAIN REGULATORY AND TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - INDIA
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Regulatory Environment - India
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Fuel Consumption Standards - India
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Indian Powertrain Mix - Unit Shipment Snapshot
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Technology Penetration - Rigid Trucks: India
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Technology Penetration - Tractor Trucks: India
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OEM Powertrain Technology Adoption Drivers - India
10. PROGRESSION OF ELECTRIFICATION TECHNOLOGY
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Electric HD Market Outlook of Key Regions - 2025
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Global Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle (PHEV) Adoption Perspective
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Global Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) Adoption Perspective
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Global Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle (FCEV) Adoption Perspective
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OEM New Dedicated Platforms - Powertrain Flexibility Comparison
11. GLOBAL OEM POWERTRAIN STRATEGIES - POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - AB
VOLVO
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Powertrain Outlook and Key Highlights - Volvo
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Technology Deep Dive - Volvo
12. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - NAVISTAR INC.
13. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - VW GROUP (MAN SE)
14. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - VW GROUP (SCANIA)
15. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - PACCAR INC.
16. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - DAIMLER AG
17. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - CUMMINS INC
18. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - IVECO
19. POWERTRAIN STRATEGYASHOK LEYLAND
20. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - TATA MOTORS
21. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - ISUZU MOTORS LIMITED
22. POWERTRAIN STRATEGY - HINO MOTORS LTD.
23. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION
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Growth Opportunity - Breakthrough Trends and Companies
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Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
24. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE OUTLOOK
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Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
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The Last Word - 3 Big Predictions
25. APPENDIX
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Partial List of Abbreviations/Expansions Used
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List of Exhibits
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