Monday, May 18, 2026

Oil prices climb more than 3% on fears of new US-Iran combat

(Investing) – “This conflict, which should never have happened, has no reason to continue,” the ministry said.

Oil prices climb more than 3% on fears of new US-Iran combat- oil and gas 360

Among deals the market was looking for from the U.S.-China summit, Trump said China wants to buy oil from the United States. Trump also said he could lift sanctions on Chinese companies that buy Iranian oil.

“Market focus is back on the deadlock and a blockaded Strait of Hormuz, with a tail risk of renewed military escalation,” said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said that 30 vessels had crossed the strait between Wednesday evening and Thursday, still far short of the 140 a day that was typical before the war, but a substantial increase, if confirmed.

“An increasing number of vessels are filtering through the strait … although currently this has a more tangible impact on sentiment than on the actual oil balance,” PVM analyst Tamas Varga said.

The strait’s closure comes at a time when reserves are running thin.

“The world has consumed its oil safety net at a historic rate,” Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Price Futures Group, said in a note. “While strategic releases and demand reduction have prevented immediate chaos, the margin for error is shrinking rapidly. A prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz points toward tighter physical markets, potential refined product shortages, and upward pressure on prices in the coming weeks and months.”

Shipping analytics firm Kpler said on Thursday that 10 ships had sailed through the strait in the past 24 hours, compared with the five to seven that have crossed daily in recent weeks.

“Crude is trading higher on a combination of the Trump-Xi meeting doing little to bring us closer to a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and continued Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries,” Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen said.

 

 

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