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Oil & Gas Publishers Note: Key Point: “If OPEC clings to restraining production to keep up prices, I think it’s suicidal,” said a person familiar with the Saudis’s thinking. “There’s going to be a scramble for market share, and the trick is how the low cost producers assert themselves without crashing the oil price.”

 

An alliance of crude producers led by Saudi Arabia is pushing OPEC and its allies to increase oil production starting in August, officials in the group said, amid signs that demand is returning to normal levels following coronavirus-related lockdowns. Key members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its Russia-led allies are set to meet via web conference Wednesday to debate the group’s current and future production. In April, Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, led a push that saw the 23-producer group cut its collective output by 9.7 million barrels a day, as the pandemic led to a collapse of oil demand. Now Saudi Arabia and most participants in the coalition support a loosening of the curbs, the delegates said. Under a Saudi proposal, the so-called OPEC Plus coalition would relax its current curbs by 2 million barrels a day to 7.7 million barrels a day, the delegates said.

“If OPEC clings to restraining production to keep up prices, I think it’s suicidal,” said a person familiar with the Saudis’s thinking. “There’s going to be a scramble for market share, and the trick is how the low cost producers assert themselves without crashing the oil price.”

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