November 5, 2015 - 7:31 AM EST
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Agrium Reports Solid Third Quarter and Expects Strong Fall Crop Input Demand

CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Nov. 5, 2015) -

ALL AMOUNTS ARE STATED IN U.S.$

Agrium Inc. (TSX:AGU) (NYSE:AGU) announced today 2015 third quarter net earnings from continuing operations of $99-million ($0.72 diluted earnings per share), compared to $91-million ($0.63 diluted earnings per share) in the third quarter of 2014. The increased net earnings are due to higher sales volumes of Wholesale nutrients combined with lower production costs in the Wholesale business unit, while Retail's earnings were similar to the prior year, despite weaker market conditions.

Highlights:

  • Third quarter adjusted net earnings of $97-million or $0.71 per share and $5.73 per share year to date in 2015 on the same basis (see page 2 for adjusted net earnings reconciliation)1.
  • Wholesale's results were boosted by nitrogen and potash performance, which saw higher volumes and lower costs, leading to an improvement in gross profit, despite lower nutrient prices. 
  • Agrium achieved 94 percent ammonia capacity utilization in the third quarter, exceeding the 90 percent target rate.
  • The Canpotex proving run is well underway at our Vanscoy potash facility and is progressing as expected.
  • Retail EBITDA2 in the U.S. and Australia were higher than the same quarter last year reflecting Operational Excellence initiatives. Total Retail EBITDA of $129-million for the quarter was in line with the prior year, despite the impact of drought conditions in the Canadian business. 
  • Agrium has repurchased 5.6 million shares since the beginning of April under its current Normal Course Issuer Bid.
  • 2015 annual guidance range has been narrowed to $7.10 to $7.40 diluted earnings per share (see page 3 for further details).

"Agrium's performance this quarter is another demonstration of the resilience of our business model. We focused on what we can control, improving our on-stream Wholesale performance and optimizing our distribution network and effectively managing costs in Retail, all of which helped drive a 9 percent increase in earnings over the same period last year despite prevailing market headwinds," commented Chuck Magro, Agrium's President and CEO. "We see strong crop input demand during the fall application season which is now in full swing and we are confident that our strategy and business structure can continue to deliver value to all our shareholders," added Mr. Magro.

1 Forecasted annual effective tax rate of 27.5 percent used for adjusted net earnings and per share calculations. These are non-IFRS measures which represent net earnings adjusted for certain income (expenses) that are considered to be non-operational in nature. We believe these measures provide meaningful comparison to the earnings of other companies by eliminating share-based payments expense (recovery), gains (losses) on foreign exchange, gains (losses) on non-qualifying derivative hedges and significant non-operating, non-recurring items. These should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS and may not be directly comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
2 Earnings (loss) from continuing operations before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization. This is a non-IFRS measure. Refer to section "Additional IFRS and Non-IFRS Financial Measures" in the Management's Discussion and Analysis.
   
ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS RECONCILIATION                  
                           
    Three months ended   Nine months ended  
    September 30, 2015   September 30, 2015  
(millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts)
Expense
(income)
  Net earnings impact
(post-tax)
 

Per share1
 
Expense
(income)
  Net earnings impact
(post-tax)
 

Per share1
 
      99   0.72       788   5.52  
Adjustments:                        
  Share-based payments (15 ) (11 ) (0.08 ) 36   26   0.18  
  Loss on derivatives net of foreign exchange 13   9   0.07   13   9   0.07  
  Gain on sale of purchase for resale assets -   -   -   (38 ) (28 ) (0.19 )
  Tax rate adjustment2 -   -   -   21   21   0.15  
Adjusted net earnings3     97   0.71       816   5.73  
1 Represents diluted per share information attributable to equity holders of Agrium.
2 Tax rate adjustment mainly relates to the increase in current and deferred taxes due to an increase in the Alberta corporate income tax rate effective July 1, 2015.
3 Forecasted annual effective tax rate of 27.5 percent used for adjusted net earnings and per share calculations.

MARKET OUTLOOK

For the third consecutive year, favorable growing conditions have contributed to above-trend global grain yields. Even in geographies which faced challenging conditions early in the growing season, such as parts of the U.S. Corn Belt and Western Canada, yield prospects have come in stronger than anticipated. Despite historically high production, the outlook for grains is more positive than it was a year ago and as of the end of October 2015, cash corn prices were more than 10 percent above 2014 levels, although oilseed prices are lower year-over-year. Excluding China, the global grain stocks to use ratio is projected to decline to the lowest level since 2012/13 and the U.S. corn supply/demand balance is projected to tighten. 

As a result of projected lower 2015/16 U.S. corn ending stocks, analysts project that U.S. corn area will increase in 2016. We expect normal North American crop nutrient application rates in the 2015/16 fertilizer year and expect that fall demand in 2015 will improve relative to 2014 levels as harvest progress is significantly ahead of last year, supporting a wider application window than the short 2014 season. In addition, we expect the overall planted acreage and crop mix to support increased crop nutrient demand.

The devaluation of most non-U.S. currencies over the past year has negatively impacted crop input demand and U.S. dollar prices. While growers in most market driven non-U.S. regions have realized a net benefit from lower local currency values due to improved local currency crop prices, crop nutrient prices in local currencies have increased significantly in some cases, which has been negative for demand. Currency devaluations have directly impacted crop nutrient demand and prices in Brazil and India. In Brazil, higher local prices, combined with lending constraints have negatively impacted import demand, however, downstream inventories have been drawn down to meet farm-level demand. In India, the devaluation of the rupee has pressured phosphate prices in order to be economical under the subsidy regime, while Indian buyers have delayed execution on some contracted potash volumes.

Globally, the downstream distribution network has been drawing on nutrient inventories to meet grower demand and purchasing on a just-in-time basis, which has led to relatively slow demand for all products. This has been the case in the U.S. urea market, as offshore imports of urea are estimated to be down 19 percent through the end of October 2015. The urea market has also been under pressure due to the combination of the devaluation of the Chinese yuan and lower anthracite coal prices, which have lowered the marginal cost of production. Chinese production levels in September in 2015 declined by 6 percent from August levels as a result of these market pressures and are expected to drop through the remainder of the year. Similarly for potash, strong shipments of potash in 2014 and the first half of 2015 allowed downstream inventories to increase. Buyers have been drawing upon these inventories in the second half of 2015, and prices have declined as spot sales volumes have declined. We expect pent-up demand to emerge late as fall applications occur and downstream inventories are drawn down. Similar to nitrogen and potash, phosphate demand has been slow in recent months, which has led to a reduction in phosphate production by some major producers.

UPDATED ANNUAL 2015 GUIDANCE

Based on our Market Outlook, Agrium expects to achieve annual diluted earnings per share of $7.10 to $7.40 in 2015 compared to our previous estimate of $7.00 to $7.50 per share. We have narrowed the guidance range but maintained a range width encompassing approximately $60-million of EBITDA variability to reflect the risk and opportunity associated with weather conditions and fall season length. We are assuming a normal fall season, recognizing there is always a risk that an early onset of inclement weather could bring an early close to the season. We have lowered the high-end and narrowed our anticipated Retail EBITDA range to $1.00-billion to $1.03-billion because of the impact of drought and lower crop prices on our Canadian operations in 2015.

Our annual nitrogen production target remains unchanged. We narrowed our potash production range to 1.95 million tonnes to 2.05 million tonnes for 2015.  

We have updated the range for our annual effective tax rate for 2015 to 27 percent to 28 percent to reflect the anticipated geographic split of our global income. Our estimates of the Canada and U.S. foreign exchange rates and NYMEX for 2015 have been narrowed from our previous estimates based on current market conditions.

This guidance and updated additional measures and related assumptions are summarized in the table below. Guidance excludes the impact of share-based payments expense (recovery), gains (losses) on foreign exchange and non-qualifying derivative hedges and significant non-operating, non-recurring items.

2015 ANNUAL GUIDANCE RANGE AND ASSUMPTIONS

  Annual  
  Low   High  
Diluted EPS $7.10   $7.40  
Guidance assumptions:        
Wholesale:        
  Production tonnes:        
    Nitrogen (millions)1 3.5   3.7  
    Potash (millions) 1.95   2.05  
Retail:        
  EBITDA (millions) $1,000   $1,030  
  Crop nutrient sales tonnes (millions) 9.7   10.2  
Other:        
  Finance costs (millions) $255   $240  
  Tax rate 28 % 27 %
  Sustaining capital expenditures (millions) $500   $550  
  Total capital expenditures (billions) $1.2   $1.3  
  Canada/U.S. foreign exchange rate 1.26   1.28  
  NYMEX gas price ($/MMBtu) $2.85   $2.70  
1 Nitrogen production tonnes reduced to reflect disposal of West Sacramento upgrade facility.

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

November 4, 2015

Unless otherwise noted, all financial information in this Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") is prepared using accounting policies in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and is presented in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34 - Interim Financial Reporting. All comparisons of results for the third quarter of 2015 (three months ended September 30, 2015) and for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 are against results for the third quarter of 2014 (three months ended September 30, 2014) and nine months ended September 30, 2014. All dollar amounts refer to United States ("U.S.") dollars except where otherwise stated. The financial measures EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and cash cost of product manufactured used in this MD&A are not prescribed by IFRS, or in the case of EBIT, is an additional IFRS financial measure. Our method of calculation may not be directly comparable to that of other companies. We consider these non-IFRS and additional IFRS financial measures to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial condition. These non-IFRS financial measures should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Please refer to the section entitled "Additional IFRS and Non-IFRS Financial Measures" of this MD&A for further details, including a reconciliation of such measures to their most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with IFRS.

The following interim MD&A is as of November 4, 2015 and should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Interim Financial Statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 (the "Consolidated Financial Statements"), and the annual MD&A and financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2014 included in our 2014 Annual Report to Shareholders. The Board of Directors carries out its responsibility for review of this disclosure principally through its Audit Committee, comprised exclusively of independent directors. The Audit Committee reviews, and prior to publication, approves this disclosure, pursuant to the authority delegated to it by the Board of Directors. No update is provided to the disclosure in our annual MD&A where there has been no material change from the discussion in our annual MD&A. In respect of Forward-Looking Statements, please refer to the section titled "Forward-Looking Statements" section of this MD&A.

2015 Third Quarter Operating Results

CONSOLIDATED NET EARNINGS

Agrium's 2015 third quarter net earnings from continuing operations were $99-million or $0.72 diluted earnings per share from continuing operations compared to net earnings from continuing operations of $91-million or $0.63 diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the same quarter of 2014.

Financial Overview  
                                 
  Three months ended
September 30,
  Nine months ended
September 30,
 
(millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts and where noted) 2015   2014   Change   % Change   2015   2014   Change   % Change  
Sales 2,524   2,920   (396 ) (14 ) 12,388   13,337   (949 ) (7 )
Gross profit 696   665   31   5   2,988   2,820   168   6  
Expenses 505   560   (55 ) (10 ) 1,696   1,767   (71 ) (4 )
Earnings before finance costs and income taxes ("EBIT")
191
 
105
 
86
 
82
 
1,292
 
1,053
 
239
 
23
 
Net earnings from continuing operations 99   91   8   9   788   728   60   8  
Net loss from discontinued operations -   (41 ) 41   (100 ) -   (59 ) 59   (100 )
Net earnings 99   50   49   98   788   669   119   18  
Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations
0.72
 
0.63
 
0.09
 
14
 
5.52
 
5.05
 
0.47
 
9
 
Diluted loss per share from discontinued operations
-
 
(0.28
)
0.28
 
(100
)
-
 
(0.41
)
0.41
 
(100
)
Diluted earnings per share 0.72   0.35   0.37   106   5.52   4.64   0.88   19  
Effective tax rate (%) 27   (20 ) N/A   N/A   29   24   N/A   N/A  
           
Sales and Gross Profit          
                           
    Three months ended September 30,   Nine months ended September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars) 2015   2014   Change   2015   2014   Change  
Sales                        
  Retail 2,011   2,295   (284 ) 10,434   10,924   (490 )
  Wholesale 673   803   (130 ) 2,714   3,076   (362 )
  Other (160 ) (178 ) 18   (760 ) (663 ) (97 )
    2,524   2,920   (396 ) 12,388   13,337   (949 )
                           
Gross profit                        
  Retail 494   542   (48 ) 2,129   2,278   (149 )
  Wholesale 218   127   91   861   525   336  
  Other (16 ) (4 ) (12 ) (2 ) 17   (19 )
    696   665   31   2,988   2,820   168  
  • Wholesale's sales volumes increased for all three crop nutrients for the third quarter and for nitrogen and phosphate for the first nine months of 2015 primarily as a result of higher operating rates. Realized selling prices for the third quarter decreased as a result of weaker market conditions but overall our average selling price increased for the first nine months of 2015. Product purchased for resale contributed to the decrease in sales as Agrium exited portions of this business.
  • Wholesale's gross profit significantly increased due to lower natural gas input costs, manufacturing cost efficiencies and as a result of higher nitrogen, potash and phosphate volumes produced for the third quarter and first nine months of 2015 compared to the same periods last year.
  • Retail's sales and gross profit decreased for the third quarter and first nine months of 2015 compared to the same periods last year primarily due to unfavorable weather conditions and competitive pricing pressure as a result of lower crop prices which impacted most of our product lines' sales and margins.

Expenses

  • General and administrative expense decreased by $9-million (13 percent) for the third quarter and $27-million (12 percent) for the first nine months of 2015 compared to the same periods last year as a result of reduced payroll and office expense costs as we continue to realize reductions related to our Operational Excellence program.

Share-based Payments

  • We had a share-based payment recovery of $15-million this quarter compared to a share-based payment expense of $10-million for the third quarter last year due primarily to the decrease in our share price.
  • As a result of our higher average share price for the first nine months of 2015, our share-based payments expense increased by $11-million compared to the same period last year.
                     
Depreciation and Amortization                    
                                 
    Three months ended September 30,
    2015   2014
(millions of U.S. dollars) Cost of
product
sold
 

Selling
  General
and
administrative
 

Total
  Cost of
product
sold
 

Selling
  General
and
administrative
 

Total
Retail 2   62   1   65   2   76   1   79
Wholesale                              
  Nitrogen 15               23            
  Potash 16               19            
  Phosphate 13               12            
  Other1 2               3            
    46   -   1   47   57   -   1   58
Other -   -   3   3   -   -   6   6
Total 48   62   5   115   59   76   8   143
                                 
    Nine months ended September 30,
    2015   2014
    Cost of
product
sold
 

Selling
  General
and
administrative
 

Total
  Cost of
product
sold
 

Selling
  General
and
administrative
 

Total
Retail 5   180   3   188   5   216   7   228
Wholesale                              
  Nitrogen 53               65            
  Potash 43               50            
  Phosphate 37               38            
  Other1 10               15            
    143   -   3   146   168   -   4   172
Other -   -   11   11   -   -   12   12
Total 148   180   17   345   173   216   23   412
1 Includes product purchased for resale, ammonium sulfate, ESN and other products.
  • Depreciation and amortization expense decreased for the third quarter and first nine months of 2015 due to the change in our method of depreciation from the straight-line basis to the units-of-production basis for our Vanscoy potash facility mining and milling assets at the beginning of 2015 and our reassessment of the useful lives of our property, plant and equipment in our Retail business unit in the fourth quarter of 2014 to reflect our expectations on the estimated future economic benefits of our property, plant and equipment.

Other Expenses (Income)

  Three months ended   Nine months ended  
  September 30,   September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars) 2015   2014   2015   2014  
Loss (gain) on derivatives not designated as hedges, net of foreign exchange
13
 
21
 
13
 
(16
)
Interest income (19 ) (31 ) (52 ) (61 )
Gain on sale of purchase for resale assets -   -   (38 ) -  
Environmental remediation and asset retirement obligations 6   1   15   21  
Bad debt (recovery) expense (4 ) -   28   30  
Potash profit and capital tax 3   3   13   9  
Other 9   13   22   26  
  8   7   1   9  

In the first nine months of 2015, other expenses decreased by $8-million due to the following:

  • Gains of $33-million were recognized on natural gas derivatives in the first nine months of 2014 and were recorded directly to other expenses. 2015 did not have comparable results, as starting January 1, 2015, we began to designate all of our natural gas derivatives as qualifying hedges for accounting purposes and the related gains or losses are recorded as part of cost of product sold when we sell the related product while unrealized gains or losses are recorded in equity.
  • We completed the sale of our Niota and Meredosia storage and distribution facilities in the first quarter of 2015 resulting in a gain on sale of purchase for resale assets of $38-million.

Effective Tax Rate

  • The effective tax rate on continuing operations of 27 percent for the third quarter is higher than the tax rate of 18 percent in the comparative quarter in 2014 (excluding the effect of the recognition of a previously unrecognized tax benefit of $29-million) because of higher earnings in higher taxed jurisdictions.
  • The effective tax rate of 29 percent for the first nine months of 2015 is higher than the rate of 27 percent for the same period last year (excluding the effect of the recognition of a previously unrecognized tax benefit) due to the increase in the Alberta provincial statutory tax rate.

BUSINESS SEGMENT PERFORMANCE

Retail            
             
  Three months ended September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars, except where noted) 2015   2014   Change  
Sales 2,011   2,295   (284 )
Cost of product sold 1,517   1,753   (236 )
Gross profit 494   542   (48 )
EBITDA 129   130   (1 )
Selling expense as a percentage of sales (%) 22   20   2  
  • Retail sales and gross profit during the quarter were lower than the same period last year due to generally lower crop input prices, weaker non-U.S. currency exchange rates and dry weather conditions in our international and Canadian operations.
  • Regionally, the U.S. EBITDA contribution was up approximately 4 percent over the same period last year. Australia reported a 40 percent increase in EBITDA, due mostly to a focused effort in reducing overall operating costs. Canada and South America EBITDA declined as poor growing conditions hampered demand for all crop inputs. 
  • Retail selling expenses as a percentage of sales were marginally higher this quarter due to lower total sales. However, total selling expenses were down $33-million compared to the same period last year as a result of cost reductions primarily in our Canadian and Australian Retail operations.
  Three months ended September 30,
  Sales   Gross profit   Gross profit (%)
(millions of U.S. dollars, except where noted) 2015   2014   Change   2015   2014   Change   2015   2014
Crop nutrients 582   646   (64 ) 113   142   (29 ) 19   22
Crop protection products 1,040   1,132   (92 ) 234   232   2   23   21
Seed 60   54   6   26   27   (1 ) 43   50
Merchandise 166   256   (90 ) 25   36   (11 ) 15   14
Service and other 163   207   (44 ) 96   105   (9 ) 59   51

Crop nutrients

  • Total crop nutrient sales were 10 percent lower compared to the same period last year due to a reduction in both average crop nutrient selling prices as well as lower sales volumes. 
  • Total crop nutrient volumes were 4 percent lower this quarter across our Retail operations compared to the same period last year. Virtually all of the reduction was due to lower demand in our International Retail, due to dry conditions and lower planted wheat acreage. Despite lower corn and total seeded acreage this year in North America, sales tonnes in the region were relatively flat compared to the third quarter of 2014.
  • Crop nutrient margins on a per tonne basis were lower across all regions. Margins from our international Retail declined by 28 percent over the same period last year. North American operations were 15 percent lower as a result of declining crop nutrient prices. 

Crop protection products

  • Total crop protection sales were down 8 percent year-over-year with most of the reduction due to a combination of drought conditions impacting sales within our Canadian operations, lower demand for insecticides in the U.S. and lower prices for glyphosate products. International crop protection sales also experienced a decline related to dry conditions in those regions.
  • Crop protection margins as a percentage of sales increased year-over-year, largely due to timing of rebates and new programs from suppliers in the U.S. market. Additionally, proprietary crop protection margins as a percentage of sales increased by 5 percent over the same period last year with the most significant increases in Canada and Australia.

Seed

  • Seed sales were up 11 percent this quarter compared to the same period last year. The increase was due primarily to excessive moisture conditions in the Eastern U.S. during June, which pushed corn and soybean seeding into July of this year. The excessive moisture also prevented a significant amount of corn and soybean acreage in the region from being planted and much of this area was seeded with wheat, rye grass and other grass seed instead.
  • Seed sales and margins were negatively impacted by competitive pressures across the seed industry, as well as lower sales volumes in Canada. Seed margins as a percentage of sales were 43 percent this quarter compared to 50 percent in 2014. Increased sales volumes of wheat, rye grass and other grass seed, which are lower margin products, were a key contributor to the lower margins.

Merchandise

  • Merchandise sales decreased compared to the same period last year as a result of lower fuel prices and demand in Canada and lower animal health sales in Australia.
  • Gross margin as a percentage of sales was higher this quarter due to a decrease in lower margin Canadian fuel sales and our ability to maintain a better cost position in the Australian business, which consistently has higher margin products.

Services and other

  • Sales for services and other was down 21 percent this quarter, due mainly to the closure of our livestock export business in Australia. Application and other services sales, gross profit and gross margins were all higher in North America compared to the same period last year.

Wholesale

  Three months ended September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars, except where noted) 2015   2014   Change  
Sales 673   803   (130 )
Sales volumes (tonnes 000's) 1,667   1,856   (189 )
Cost of product sold 455   676   (221 )
Gross profit 218   127   91  
Adjusted EBITDA 226   171   55  
Expenses 44   27   17  
  • Wholesale sales this quarter were lower than the same period last year due to our decision to sell several non-core, lower-return purchase for resale facilities in 2015 related to our on-going asset portfolio review. Excluding this factor, Wholesale had higher product sales volumes this quarter largely offset by lower selling prices for all three crop nutrients. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $55-million over the prior year, as a result of higher utilization rates from our nitrogen and potash segments resulting in higher sales volumes and lower production costs per tonne.
  Three months ended September 30,  
  Nitrogen   Potash   Phosphate  
  2015   2014   Change   2015   2014   Change   2015   2014   Change  
Gross profit (U.S. dollar millions) 130   77   53   42   2   40   31   31   -  
Sales volume (tonnes 000's) 760   735   25   384   251   133   269   261   8  
Selling price ($/tonne) 388   438   (50 ) 279   313   (34 ) 629   663   (34 )
Cost of product sold ($/tonne) 217   333   (116 ) 171   304   (133 ) 514   546   (32 )
Gross margin ($/tonne) 171   105   66   108   9   99   115   117   (2 )

Nitrogen

  • Nitrogen gross profit increased by 69 percent over the same period last year, with results being driven by higher volumes and a significant reduction in cost of product sold due to improved capacity utilization rates and lower natural gas costs in the current period.
  • Sales volumes increased by 3 percent over the same period last year, driven by stronger urea and ammonia sales. This increase was due to higher on-stream time at our production facilities and product availability compared to the same period last year.
  • Cost of product sold per tonne was 35 percent lower than the same period last year. Operational improvements and higher on-stream time compared to the same period in the prior year decreased fixed costs per tonne, while lower natural gas costs reduced variable costs. The weaker Canadian dollar also reduced operating costs at our Canadian plants.
  • Nitrogen margin per tonne was $171 per tonne, a 63 percent improvement over the same period last year, despite an 11 percent reduction in average selling prices.
   
Natural gas prices: North American indices and North American Agrium prices  
         
  Three months ended
   September 30,
 
(U.S. dollars per MMBtu) 2015   2014  
Overall gas cost excluding realized derivative impact $2.43   $4.01  
Realized derivative impact $(0.04 ) $(0.01 )
Overall gas cost $2.39   $4.00  
Average NYMEX $2.77   $4.07  
Average AECO $2.16   $3.70  

As of January 1, 2015, we have designated all of our natural gas derivatives as accounting hedges1, with realized gains and losses now recorded to cost of product sold (which also includes transportation and administration costs).

1 In the prior year, unrealized and realized gains and losses on derivatives not designated as hedges were included in other expenses.

Potash

  • Potash gross profit this quarter was $40-million higher than the same period last year, due to the turnaround to tie-in the Vanscoy capacity expansion that started in the third quarter of 2014 leading to lower sales and margin in the prior year.
  • Sales volumes were 53 percent higher compared to the same period in the prior year. Production volumes this quarter were 560,000 tonnes.
  • Realized sales prices were lower than the same period last year due to competitive pricing pressure in both domestic and international markets.
  • Cost of product sold was reduced as a result of cost efficiencies associated with the continuing ramp-up of the Vanscoy expansion, as well as weakening of the Canadian dollar. As a result, cash cost of product manufactured continues to improve and is $89 per tonne in the current quarter compared to $110 per tonne in the second quarter of 2015.

Phosphate

  • Phosphate gross profit was unchanged from the prior year.
  • Sales volumes were slightly higher than last year, while reduced selling prices were largely offset by lower cost of production. As a result, phosphate margins were only 2 percent lower than the same quarter last year.

Wholesale Other

Wholesale Other: gross profit breakdown
             
  Three months ended September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars) 2015   2014   Change  
Product purchased for resale 2   6   (4 )
Ammonium sulfate 10   8   2  
Environmentally Smart Nitrogen ("ESN®") 6   4   2  
Other (3 ) (1 ) (2 )
  15   17   (2 )
  • Gross profit for Wholesale's Other product category decreased this quarter primarily due to lower sales volumes and gross profit for the product purchased for resale business, as these operations were significantly scaled back earlier in 2015 as part of our portfolio review.
  • ESN® gross profit increased this quarter due to slightly higher sales volumes and lower cost of product sold, which was partly offset by lower selling prices.

Wholesale Earnings from Equity Investees

  • Agrium's share of earnings from equity investees saw a loss of $10-million during the quarter. MOPCO experienced gas curtailments throughout the quarter which restricted nitrogen production. Profertil's sales volumes and costs were impacted by an extended outage during the current quarter.

Other

EBITDA for our Other non-operating business unit for the third quarter of 2015 had a net expense of $44-million, compared to a net expense of $40-million for the third quarter of 2014. The variance was due to the following:

  • A $12-million higher gross profit elimination expense as a result of higher inter-segment inventory held at the end of the third quarter of 2015;
  • A $22-million increase in other expenses primarily due to higher provisions for environmental remediation and asset retirement obligations and an interest recovery received in 2014; and
  • A $15-million share-based payment recovery for the third quarter of 2015 compared to a $10-million share-based payment expense for the same period last year due to a decrease in Agrium's share price in 2015.

FINANCIAL CONDITION

The following are changes to working capital on our Consolidated Balance Sheets for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2015 compared to December 31, 2014.

(millions of U.S. dollars, except where noted) September 30, 2015   December 31, 2014   $ Change   % Change     Explanation of the change in balance
Current assets                    
  Cash and cash equivalents 753   848   (95 ) (11 %)   See discussion under the section "Liquidity and Capital Resources".
  Accounts receivable 2,927   2,075   852   41 %   Seasonal sales activity for Retail resulted in higher Retail trade and vendor rebates receivable.
  Income taxes receivable 12   138   (126 ) (91 %)   The 2015 tax provision exceeded tax installment payments made net of current period tax refunds.
  Inventories 2,759   3,505   (746 ) (21 %)   Inventory drawdown due to seasonal sales activity.
  Prepaid expenses and deposits 165   710   (545 ) (77 %)   Drawdown of prepaid inventory where Retail typically prepays for product at year end and takes possession of inventory throughout the year.
  Other current assets 148   122   26   21 %   -
Current liabilities                    
  Short-term debt 1,782   1,527   255   17 %   New drawings for cash needs, partially offset by using the proceeds from the issuance of debentures to repay commercial paper and credit facilities.
  Accounts payable 2,923   4,197   (1,274 ) (30 %)   Drawdown in customer prepayments during the spring application season, reductions in trade payables as the third quarter is typically a low point for product purchasing, and reductions in accruals related to Wholesale capital expansion projects in 2015.
  Income taxes payable 59   5   54   1,080 %   The 2015 tax provision exceeded tax installment payments made in Canada.
  Current portion of long-term debt 11   11   -   0 %   -
  Current portion of other provisions 82   113   (31 ) (27 %)   -
Working capital 1,907   1,545   362   23 %    

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Summary of Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

Below is a summary of our cash provided by or used in operating, investing, and financing activities as reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows:

  Nine months ended September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars) 2015   2014   Change  
Cash provided by operating activities 570   332   238  
Cash used in investing activities (1,182 ) (1,577 ) 395  
Cash provided by financing activities 484   771   (287 )
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents 33   (37 ) 70  
Decrease in cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations (95 ) (511 ) 416  
Cash and cash equivalents used in discontinued operations -   (16 ) 16  
             
Cash provided by operating activities - Drivers behind the $238-million increase
Source of cash $202-million change related to taxes paid of $81-million in the first nine months of 2015 compared to taxes paid of $283-million in the same period in 2014 resulting from an increase in tax refunds in Canada.
Cash used in investing activities - Drivers behind the $395-million decrease in use
Use of cash Lower capital expenditures in the first nine months of 2015 due to the completion of the tie-in of our Vanscoy potash mine expansion at the end of 2014.
Cash provided by financing activities - Drivers behind the $287-million decrease
Source of cash Received $1-billion proceeds from issuance of long-term debt in the first nine months of 2015.
Lower issuance of our commercial paper in the first nine months of 2015 as we received proceeds from our long-term debt.
Use of cash Repurchased common shares for $559-million in the first nine months of 2015; no similar activity in the same period in 2014.
     
Capital Spending and Expenditures1          
      Three months ended     Nine months ended  
      September 30,     September 30,  
(millions of U.S. dollars)   2015   2014   2015   2014  
Retail                
  Sustaining 11   25   103   129  
  Investing 8   9   25   29  
    19   34   128   158  
  Acquisitions2 1   129   85   147  
  20   163   213   305  
Wholesale                
  Sustaining 72   96   199   292  
  Investing 77   381   578   1,061  
  149   477   777   1,353  
Corporate & Other                
  Sustaining 1   2   3   2  
  Investing 1   2   2   4  
  2   4   5   6  
Total                
  Sustaining 84   123   305   423  
  Investing 86   392   605   1,094  
    170   515   910   1,517  
  Acquisitions2 1   129   85   147  
  171   644   995   1,664  
1 Excludes capitalized borrowing costs.
2 Represents business acquisitions and includes acquired working capital; property, plant and equipment; intangibles; goodwill; and, investments in associates and joint ventures.
  • Our investing capital expenditures decreased in the first nine months of 2015 compared to the first nine months of 2014 due to the completion of the tie-in of our Vanscoy potash facility expansion in the fourth quarter of 2014, partially offset by expenditures relating to the Borger nitrogen expansion project.
  • Our sustaining capital expenditures decreased in the first nine months of 2015 as we had less turnarounds compared to the same period last year.
  • We expect Agrium's capital expenditures in the fourth quarter of 2015 to approximate $200--million to $300-million in 2015. We anticipate that we will be able to finance the announced projects through a combination of cash provided from operating activities and existing credit facilities.

Short-term Debt

  • Our short-term debt of $1.8-billion at September 30, 2015 is outlined in note 5 of our Summarized Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
  • Our short-term debt increased by $1.1-billion during the three months ended September 30, 2015, which in turn contributed to a decrease in our unutilized short-term financing capacity to $1.1-billion at September 30, 2015.

Capital Management

  • Our revolving credit facilities require that we maintain specific interest coverage and debt-to-capital ratios, as well as other non-financial covenants as defined in our credit agreements. We were in compliance with all covenants at September 30, 2015.

NORMAL COURSE ISSUER BID

In January 2015, the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") accepted Agrium's notice of intention to make a normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") whereby Agrium may purchase up to 7,185,866 common shares on the TSX and New York Stock Exchange during the period from January 26, 2015 to January 25, 2016. During the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we purchased 5,574,331 shares at an average share price of $100.25 for total consideration of $559-million. Shareholders can obtain a free copy of the NCIB notice submitted to the TSX from Agrium upon request.

OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA

Agrium had 138,169,000 outstanding shares at October 31, 2015. At that date, under our stock option plans, shares expected to be issued for options outstanding were negligible.

SELECTED QUARTERLY INFORMATION  
                                   
(millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts) 2015
Q3
 
 
2015
Q2
 
 
2015
Q1
 
 
2014
Q4
 
 
2014
Q3
 
 
2014
Q2
 
 
2014
Q1
 
 
2013
Q4
 
 
Sales 2,524   6,992   2,872   2,705   2,920   7,338   3,079   2,867  
Gross profit 696   1,708   584   732   665   1,599   556   740  
Net earnings from continuing operations 99   675   14   70   91   625   12   110  
Net loss from discontinued operations -   -   -   (19 ) (41 ) (9 ) (9 ) (11 )
Net earnings 99   675   14   51   50   616   3   99  
Earnings per share from continuing operations attributable to equity holders of Agrium:                                
  Basic and diluted 0.72   4.71   0.08   0.46   0.63   4.34   0.08   0.74  
Loss per share from discontinued operations attributable to equity holders of Agrium:                                
  Basic and diluted -   -   -   (0.13 ) (0.28 ) (0.06 ) (0.06 ) (0.08 )
Earnings per share attributable to equity holders of Agrium:                                
  Basic and diluted 0.72   4.71   0.08   0.33   0.35   4.28   0.02   0.66  

The agricultural products business is seasonal in nature. Consequently, comparisons made on a year-over-year basis are more appropriate than quarter-over-quarter comparisons. Crop input sales are primarily concentrated in the spring and fall crop input application seasons. Crop nutrient inventories are normally accumulated leading up to each application season. Our cash collections from accounts receivables generally occur after the application season is complete and our customer prepayments are mostly concentrated in December and January.

ADDITIONAL IFRS AND NON-IFRS FINANCIAL MEASURES

Certain financial measures in this MD&A are not prescribed by IFRS. We consider these financial measures discussed herein to provide useful information to both management and investors in measuring our financial performance and financial condition.

In general, an additional IFRS financial measure is a measure relevant to understanding a company's financial performance that is not a minimum financial statement measure mandated by IFRS. A non-IFRS financial measure generally either excludes or includes amounts not excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with IFRS. Non-IFRS financial measures are not recognized measures under IFRS and our method of calculation may not be directly comparable to that of other companies. These non-IFRS measures should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with IFRS.
The following table outlines our additional IFRS financial measure, its definition and why management uses such measure.

Additional IFRS financial measure  
Definition
  Why We Use the Measure and Why it is Useful to Investors
EBIT   Earnings (loss) from continuing operations before finance costs and income taxes.   Provides management and investors with information for comparison of our operating results to the operating results of other companies. This measure eliminates the impact of finance and tax structure variables that exist between entities.

The following table outlines our non-IFRS financial measures, their definitions and why management uses each measure.

Non-IFRS financial measures  
Definition
  Why We Use the Measure and Why it is Useful to Investors
EBITDA   Earnings (loss) from continuing operations before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization.   Refer to EBIT. EBITDA is also frequently used by investors and analysts for valuation purposes when multiplied by a factor to estimate the enterprise value of a company. EBITDA is also a component in the determination of annual incentive compensation for certain management employees, and in calculation of certain of our debt covenants.
Adjusted EBITDA   EBITDA before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization of joint ventures.   Useful in evaluating our business performance by including our proportionate share of joint ventures in operating results.
Cash cost of product manufactured ("COPM")   All fixed and variable costs are accumulated in cost of product manufactured ("COPM"). Cash COPM excludes depreciation and amortization expense. Fixed costs per tonne will fluctuate as production tonnage fluctuates. Fixed costs will remain constant whether or not tonnes are produced. Variable costs per tonne remain constant as production tonnage fluctuates. Variable costs fluctuate as production tonnage fluctuates. Direct freight is a transportation cost to move the product from an Agrium location to the point of sale. It is not a component of COPM.   Enables investors to better understand the performance of our manufacturing operations in comparison to other crop nutrient producers. When COPM costs are divided by the production tonnes for the period, the result is actual COPM per tonne, which is compared to the standard COPM per tonne - a calculation of fixed and variable costs for a standard or typical period of production. The standard COPM per tonne is multiplied by the production tonnes for the period, and the resulting dollar amount is transferred to inventory. Any remaining costs are recorded directly to cost of product sold as production volume or cost efficiency variances. There is no directly comparable IFRS measure for cash cost of product manufactured.

RECONCILIATIONS OF ADDITIONAL IFRS AND NON-IFRS FINANCIAL MEASURES

Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA to EBIT                  
                                   
    Three months ended   Three months ended  
    September 30, 2015   September 30, 2014  
(millions of U.S. dollars) Retail   Wholesale   Other   Consolidated   Retail   Wholesale   Other   Consolidated  
Adjusted EBITDA 129   226   (44 ) 311   130   171   (40 ) 261  
Equity accounted joint ventures:                                
  Finance costs and income taxes -   1   -   1   -   8   -   8  
  Depreciation and amortization -   4   -   4   -   5   -   5  
EBITDA 129   221   (44 ) 306   130   158   (40 ) 248  
Depreciation and amortization 65   47   3   115   79   58   6   143  
EBIT 64   174   (47 ) 191   51   100   (46 ) 105  
                                   
    Nine months ended   Nine months ended  
    September 30, 2015   September 30, 2014  
(millions of U.S. dollars) Retail   Wholesale   Other   Consolidated   Retail   Wholesale   Other   Consolidated  
Adjusted EBITDA 834   950   (129 ) 1,655   938   671   (114 ) 1,495  
Equity accounted joint ventures:                                
  Finance costs and income taxes -   6   -   6   -   20   -   20  
  Depreciation and amortization -   12   -   12   -   10   -   10  
EBITDA 834   932   (129 ) 1,637   938   641   (114 ) 1,465  
Depreciation and amortization 188   146   11   345   228   172   12   412  
EBIT 646   786   (140 ) 1,292   710   469   (126 ) 1,053  

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES

We prepare our financial statements in accordance with IFRS, which requires us to make judgments, assumptions and estimates in applying accounting policies. For further information on the Company's critical accounting estimates, refer to the section "Critical Accounting Estimates" in our 2014 annual MD&A, which is contained in our 2014 Annual Report. Since the date of our 2014 annual MD&A, there have not been any material changes to our critical accounting estimates.

CHANGES IN ACCOUNTING POLICIES

The accounting policies applied in our Consolidated Financial Statements for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 are the same as those applied in our audited annual financial statements in our 2014 Annual Report, with the exception of changes in accounting estimates described in note 9 of our Summarized Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for the three months ended March 31, 2015.

BUSINESS RISKS

The information presented in the "Enterprise Risk Management" section on pages 64 - 68 in our 2014 Annual Report and under the heading "Risk Factors" on pages 22 - 31 in our 2014 Annual Information Form has not changed materially since December 31, 2014.

CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

There have been no changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the nine months ended September 30, 2015 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

PUBLIC SECURITIES FILINGS

Additional information about our Company, including our 2014 Annual Information Form is filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities through SEDAR at www.sedar.com and with the U.S. securities regulatory authorities through EDGAR at www.sec.gov.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements and other information included in this document constitute "forward-looking information" and/or "financial outlook" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation or constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of applicable U.S. securities legislation (collectively, the "forward-looking statements"). All statements in this document other than those relating to historical information or current conditions are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements as to management's expectations with respect to: 2015 annual guidance, expectations regarding nitrogen and potash production volumes; capital spending expectations for the remainder of 2015; expectations regarding 2015 production volumes at our Vanscoy potash facility; and our market outlook for the remainder of 2015 and 2016, including anticipated supply and demand for our products and services, expected market and industry conditions with respect to crop nutrient application rates, planted acres, crop mix, prices and the impact of currency fluctuations and import and export volumes. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. The purpose of the outlook provided herein is to assist readers in understanding our expected and targeted financial and operating results, and this information may not be appropriate for other purposes.

All of the forward-looking statements are qualified by the assumptions that are stated or inherent in such forward-looking statements, including the assumptions referred to below and elsewhere in this document. Although Agrium believes that these assumptions are reasonable, this list is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect any of the forward-looking statements and the reader should not place an undue reliance on these assumptions and such forward-looking statements. The additional key assumptions that have been made include, among other things assumptions with respect to Agrium's ability to successfully integrate and realize the anticipated benefits of its already completed and future acquisitions and that we will be able to implement our standards, controls, procedures and policies at any acquired businesses to realize the expected synergies; that future business, regulatory and industry conditions will be within the parameters expected by Agrium, with respect to prices, margins, product availability and supplier agreements; the completion of our expansion projects on schedule, as planned and on budget; assumptions with respect to global economic conditions and the accuracy of our market outlook expectations for the remainder of 2015 and 2016; the adequacy of our cash generated from operations and our ability to access our credit facilities or capital markets for additional sources of financing; our ability to identify suitable candidates for acquisitions and negotiate acceptable terms; our ability to maintain our investment grade rating and achieve our performance targets; and our receipt, on time, of all necessary permits, utilities and project approvals with respect to our expansion projects and that we will have the resources necessary to meet the projects' approach. Also refer to the discussion under the heading "Key Assumptions and Risks in Respect of Forward-Looking Statements" in our 2014 annual MD&A, with respect to further material assumptions associated with our forward-looking statements.

Events or circumstances that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: general economic, market and business conditions; weather conditions, including impacts from regional flooding and/or drought conditions; crop yield and prices; the supply and demand and price levels for our major products may vary from what we currently anticipate; governmental and regulatory requirements and actions by governmental authorities, including changes in government policy, government ownership requirements, changes in environmental, tax and other laws or regulations and the interpretation thereof, and political risks, including civil unrest, actions by armed groups or conflict, regional natural gas supply restrictions, as well as counterparty and sovereign risk; delays in completion of turnarounds at our major facilities; the risk that work on the MOPCO nitrogen facility expansion in Egypt may be interrupted again and may not be completed on the timelines currently anticipated or at all; the risk of additional capital expenditure cost escalation or delays in respect of our Borger nitrogen expansion project and the ramp-up of production following the tie-in of our Vanscoy potash expansion project; and other risk factors detailed from time to time in Agrium reports filed with the Canadian securities regulators and the Securities and Exchange Commission in the U.S. including those disclosed under the heading "Risk Factors" in our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2014 and under the headings "Enterprise Risk Management" and "Key Assumptions and Risks in respect of Forward-Looking Statements" in our 2014 annual MD&A.

The purpose of our expected diluted earnings per share guidance range is to assist readers in understanding our expected and targeted financial results, and this information may not be appropriate for other purposes.

Agrium disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements in this document as a result of new information or future events, except as may be required under applicable U.S. federal securities laws or applicable Canadian securities legislation.

OTHER

Agrium Inc. is a major producer and distributor of agricultural products and services in North America, South America, Australia and Egypt through its agricultural retail-distribution and wholesale nutrient businesses. Agrium supplies growers with key products and services such as crop nutrients, crop protection, seed, and agronomic and application services, thereby helping to meet the ever growing global demand for food and fiber. Agrium produces nitrogen, potash and phosphate fertilizers, with a combined wholesale nutrient capacity of over nine million tonnes and with competitive advantages across all product lines. Agrium retail-distribution has an unmatched network of over 1,300 facilities and over 3,000 crop consultants. We partner with over half a million grower customers globally to help them increase their yields and returns on more than 50 different crops. With a focus on sustainability, the company strives to improve the communities in which it operates through safety, education, environmental improvement and new technologies such as the development of precision agriculture and controlled release nutrient products. Agrium is focused on driving operational excellence across our businesses, pursuing value-enhancing growth opportunities and returning capital to shareholders. For more information visit: www.agrium.com.

A WEBSITE SIMULCAST of the 2015 3rd Quarter Conference Call will be available in a listen-only mode beginning Thursday, November 5th, 2015 at 9:30 a.m. MST (11:30 a.m. EST). Please visit the following website: www.agrium.com.

AGRIUM INC. 
Consolidated Statements of Operations 
(Millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts) 
(Unaudited) 
          
  Three months ended Nine months ended 
  September 30, September 30, 
  2015 2014 2015 2014 
      
Sales2,524 2,920 12,388 13,337 
Cost of product sold1,828 2,255 9,400 10,517 
Gross profit696 665 2,988 2,820 
Expenses        
 Selling441 480 1,456 1,533 
 General and administrative61 70 194 221 
 Share-based payments(15)10 36 25 
 Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures10 (7)9 (21)
 Other expenses (note 3)8 7 1 9 
Earnings before finance costs and income taxes191 105 1,292 1,053 
 Finance costs related to long-term debt41 15 128 43 
 Other finance costs14 14 51 49 
Earnings before income taxes136 76 1,113 961 
 Income taxes37 (15)325 233 
Net earnings from continuing operations99 91 788 728 
Net loss from discontinued operations- (41)- (59)
Net earnings99 50 788 669 
Attributable to:        
 Equity holders of Agrium101 50 787 667 
 Non-controlling interest(2)- 1 2 
Net earnings99 50 788 669 
          
Earnings per share attributable to equity holders of Agrium (note 4)         
 Basic and diluted earnings per share from continuing operations0.72 0.63 5.52 5.05 
 Basic and diluted loss per share from discontinued operations- (0.28)- (0.41)
 Basic and diluted earnings per share0.72 0.35 5.52 4.64 
See accompanying notes.        
  
AGRIUM INC. 
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income 
(Millions of U.S. dollars) 
(Unaudited) 
             
     Three months ended Nine months ended 
     September 30, September 30, 
     2015 2014 2015 2014 
             
Net earnings99 50 788 669 
 Other comprehensive loss        
  Items that are or may be reclassified to earnings        
   Cash flow hedges        
    Effective portion of changes in fair value(10)(3)(30)(7)
    Deferred income taxes on changes in fair value3 1 8 2 
   Share of comprehensive loss of associates and joint ventures
(2
)
(4
)
(7
)
(2
)
   Foreign currency translation        
    Losses(294)(195)(532)(199)
    Reclassifications to earnings- - 1 - 
     (303)(201)(560)(206)
  Items that will never be reclassified to earnings        
   Post-employment benefits        
    Actuarial losses- - - (20)
    Deferred income taxes- - 1 6 
     - - 1 (14)
 Other comprehensive loss(303)(201)(559)(220)
Comprehensive (loss) income(204)(151)229 449 
Attributable to:        
 Equity holders of Agrium(205)(151)226 447 
 Non-controlling interest1 - 3 2 
Comprehensive (loss) income(204)(151)229 449 
See accompanying notes.        
  
AGRIUM INC. 
Consolidated Balance Sheets 
(Millions of U.S. dollars) 
(Unaudited) 
          
    September 30, December 31, 
    2015 2014 2014 
Assets      
 Current assets      
  Cash and cash equivalents753 274 848 
  Accounts receivable2,927 2,847 2,075 
  Income taxes receivable12 25 138 
  Inventories2,759 3,086 3,505 
  Prepaid expenses and deposits165 236 710 
  Other current assets148 179 122 
   6,764 6,647 7,398 
 Property, plant and equipment (note 7)6,274 6,021 6,272 
 Intangibles635 730 695 
 Goodwill1,995 1,982 2,014 
 Investments in associates and joint ventures574 622 576 
 Other assets65 90 78 
 Deferred income tax assets55 79 75 
  16,362 16,171 17,108 
Liabilities and shareholders' equity      
 Current liabilities      
  Short-term debt (note 5)1,782 1,855 1,527 
  Accounts payable2,923 3,214 4,197 
  Income taxes payable59 2 5 
  Current portion of long-term debt11 26 11 
  Current portion of other provisions82 106 113 
  4,857 5,203 5,853 
 Long-term debt (note 5)4,517 3,069 3,559 
 Post-employment benefits139 145 151 
 Other provisions342 415 367 
 Other liabilities81 40 69 
 Deferred income tax liabilities420 378 422 
  10,356 9,250 10,421 
 Shareholders' equity      
  Share capital1,756 1,821 1,821 
  Retained earnings5,444 5,575 5,502 
  Accumulated other comprehensive loss(1,198)(477)(643)
  Equity holders of Agrium6,002 6,919 6,680 
  Non-controlling interest4 2 7 
  Total equity6,006 6,921 6,687 
  16,362 16,171 17,108 
See accompanying notes.      
  
AGRIUM INC. 
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows 
(Millions of U.S. dollars) 
(Unaudited) 
           
   Three months ended Nine months ended 
   September 30, September 30, 
   2015 2014 2015 2014 
           
Operating        
 Net earnings from continuing operations99 91 788 728 
 Adjustments for        
  Depreciation and amortization115 143 345 412 
  Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures10 (7)9 (21)
  Share-based payments(15)10 36 25 
  Unrealized (gain) loss on derivative financial instruments(6)(41)7 (46)
  Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss(13)67 (23)48 
  Interest income(19)(31)(52)(61)
  Finance costs55 29 179 92 
  Income taxes37 (15)325 233 
  Other(3)(12)(22)15 
 Interest received21 31 54 62 
 Interest paid(71)(15)(161)(68)
 Income taxes paid(92)(215)(81)(283)
 Dividends from associates and joint ventures- 41 2 48 
 Net changes in non-cash working capital(344)(542)(836)(852)
Cash (used in) provided by operating activities(226)(466)570 332 
Investing        
 Acquisitions, net of cash acquired(1)(129)(85)(147)
 Proceeds from sale of discontinued operations- 94 - 94 
 Capital expenditures(170)(515)(910)(1,517)
 Capitalized borrowing costs(14)(30)(37)(83)
 Purchase of investments(25)(32)(110)(97)
 Proceeds from sale of investments20 24 65 68 
 Proceeds from sale of property, plant and equipment23 - 77 - 
 Other(4)(12)7 (15)
 Net changes in non-cash working capital(97)59 (189)120 
Cash used in investing activities(268)(541)(1,182)(1,577)
Financing        
 Short-term debt1,156 682 418 1,126 
 Long-term debt issued- 12 1,000 12 
 Transaction costs on long-term debt- - (14)- 
 Repayment of long-term debt(2)(30)(17)(45)
 Dividends paid(122)(107)(345)(323)
 Shares issued- - 1 1 
 Shares repurchased(459)- (559)- 
Cash provided by financing activities573 557 484 771 
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents27 (18)33 (37)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations
106
 
(468
)
(95
)
(511
)
Cash and cash equivalents used in discontinued operations- (17)- (16)
Cash and cash equivalents - beginning of period647 759 848 801 
Cash and cash equivalents - end of period753 274 753 274 
See accompanying notes.        
  
AGRIUM INC.
Consolidated Statements of Shareholders' Equity
(Millions of U.S. dollars, except share data)
(Unaudited)
                           
          Other comprehensive income (loss)        
     
     
     
     
 
 
 
 
Millions of
common
shares
 
 
 
 
 
 
Share
capital
 
 
 
 
 
 
Retained
earnings
 
 
 
 
 
Cash flow
hedges
 
 
 
 
Comprehensive
loss of
associates and
joint ventures
 
 
 
 
Available
for sale
financial
instruments
 
 
 
 
 
Foreign
currency
translation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity
holders of
Agrium
 
 
 
 
 
Non-
controlling
interest
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
equity
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2013 144 1,820 5,253 - (7)(8)(264)(279) 6,794 2 6,796 
 Net earnings - - 667 - - - - -  667 2 669 
 Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                        
  Post-employment benefits - - (14)- - - - -  (14)- (14)
  Other - - - (5)(2)- (199)(206) (206)- (206)
 Comprehensive income (loss), net of tax - - 653 (5)(2)- (199)(206) 447 2 449 
 Dividends - - (323)- - - - -  (323)- (323)
 Non-controlling interest transactions - - - - - - - -  - (2)(2)
 Share-based payment transactions - 1 - - - - - -  1 - 1 
 Impact of adopting IFRS 9 at January 1, 2014 - - (8)- - 8 - 8  - - - 
September 30, 2014 144 1,821 5,575 (5)(9)- (463)(477) 6,919 2 6,921 
                           
December 31, 2014 144 1,821 5,502 (27)(11)- (605)(643) 6,680 7 6,687 
 Net earnings - - 787 - - - - -  787 1 788 
 Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                        
  Post-employment benefits - - 1 - - - - -  1 - 1 
  Other - - - (22)(7)- (533)(562) (562)2 (560)
 Comprehensive income (loss), net of tax - - 788 (22)(7)- (533)(562) 226 3 229 
 Dividends - - (357)- - - - -  (357)- (357)
 Non-controlling interest transactions - - - - - - - -  - (6)(6)
 Shares repurchased (6)(70)(489)- - - - -  (559)- (559)
 Share-based payment transactions - 5 - - - - - -  5 - 5 
 Reclassification of cash flow hedges - - - 7 - - - 7  7 - 7 
September 30, 2015 138 1,756 5,444 (42)(18)- (1,138)(1,198) 6,002 4 6,006 
See accompanying notes. 
  
AGRIUM INC.
Summarized Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements
For the nine months ended September 30, 2015
(Millions of U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated)
(Unaudited)

1. Corporate Information

Corporate information

Agrium Inc. ("Agrium") is incorporated under the laws of Canada with common shares listed under the symbol "AGU" on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX). Our Corporate head office is located at 13131 Lake Fraser Drive S.E., Calgary, Canada. We conduct our operations globally from our Wholesale head office in Calgary and our Retail head office in Loveland, Colorado, United States. In these financial statements, "we", "us", "our" and "Agrium" mean Agrium Inc., its subsidiaries and joint arrangements.

Agrium operates two business units:

  • Retail: Distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, merchandise and services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in two geographical segments:
    • North America, including the United States and Canada; and
    • International, including Australia and South America.
  • Wholesale: Operates in North and South America and Europe producing, marketing and distributing crop nutrients and industrial products through the following businesses:
    • Nitrogen: Manufacturing in Alberta, Texas and Argentina;
    • Potash: Mining and processing in Saskatchewan;
    • Phosphate: Mining and production facilities in Alberta and Idaho; and
    • Other: Marketing nutrient-based products from other suppliers in North and South America and Europe, and producing blended crop nutrients and ESN® (Environmentally Smart Nitrogen) polymer-coated nitrogen crop nutrients.

Additional information on our operating segments is included in note 2.

Seasonality in our business results from increased demand for our products during planting seasons. Sales are generally higher in spring and fall.

Basis of preparation and statement of compliance

These consolidated interim financial statements ("interim financial statements") were approved for issuance by the Audit Committee on November 4, 2015. We prepared these interim financial statements in accordance with International Accounting Standard 34 Interim Financial Reporting. These statements do not include all information and disclosures normally provided in annual financial statements and should be read in conjunction with our audited annual financial statements and related notes contained in our 2014 Annual Report, available at www.agrium.com.

The accounting policies applied in these interim financial statements are the same as those applied in our audited annual financial statements in our 2014 Annual Report, with the exception of the accounting changes described in note 9 to our interim financial statements for the three months ended March 31, 2015.

2. Operating Segments

Segment information by business unit  
 Three months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   Retail Wholesale Other (1)Total Retail Wholesale Other (1)Total 
Sales- external2,006 518 - 2,524 2,294 626 - 2,920 
  - inter-segment5 155 (160)- 1 177 (178)- 
Total sales2,011 673 (160)2,524 2,295 803 (178)2,920 
Cost of product sold1,517 455 (144)1,828 1,753 676 (174)2,255 
Gross profit494 218 (16)696 542 127 (4)665 
Gross profit (%)25 32   28 24 16   23 
Expenses                
 Selling437 9 (5)441 470 13 (3)480 
 General and administrative25 11 25 61 31 10 29 70 
 Share-based payments- - (15)(15)- - 10 10 
 Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures1 9 - 10 (2)(7)2 (7)
 Other (income) expenses(33)15 26 8 (8)11 4 7 
Earnings (loss) before finance costs and income taxes64 174 (47)191 51 100 (46)105 
 Finance costs- - 55 55 - - 29 29 
Earnings (loss) before income taxes64 174 (102)136 51 100 (75)76 
 Depreciation and amortization65 47 3 115 79 58 6 143 
 Finance costs- - 55 55 - - 29 29 
EBITDA (2)129 221 (44)306 130 158 (40)248 
Share of joint ventures                
 Finance costs and income taxes- 1 - 1 - 8 - 8 
 Depreciation and amortization- 4 - 4 - 5 - 5 
Adjusted EBITDA129 226 (44)311 130 171 (40)261 
(1)Includes inter-segment eliminations.
(2)EBITDA is earnings (loss) from continuing operations before finance costs, income taxes, depreciation and amortization.
  
Segment information by business unit  
 Nine months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   Retail Wholesale Other (1)Total Retail Wholesale Other (1)Total 
Sales- external10,410 1,978 - 12,388 10,913 2,424 - 13,337 
  - inter-segment24 736 (760)- 11 652 (663)- 
Total sales10,434 2,714 (760)12,388 10,924 3,076 (663)13,337 
Cost of product sold8,305 1,853 (758)9,400 8,646 2,551 (680)10,517 
Gross profit2,129 861 (2)2,988 2,278 525 17 2,820 
Gross profit (%)20 32   24 21 17   21 
Expenses                
 Selling1,440 29 (13)1,456 1,509 34 (10)1,533 
 General and administrative83 27 84 194 94 33 94 221 
 Share-based payments- - 36 36 - - 25 25 
 (Earnings) loss from associates and joint ventures(3)12 - 9 (7)(17)3 (21)
 Other (income) expenses(37)7 31 1 (28)6 31 9 
Earnings (loss) before finance costs and income taxes646 786 (140)1,292 710 469 (126)1,053 
 Finance costs- - 179 179 - - 92 92 
Earnings (loss) before income taxes646 786 (319)1,113 710 469 (218)961 
 Depreciation and amortization188 146 11 345 228 172 12 412 
 Finance costs- - 179 179 - - 92 92 
EBITDA834 932 (129)1,637 938 641 (114)1,465 
Share of joint ventures                
 Finance costs and income taxes- 6 - 6 - 20 - 20 
 Depreciation and amortization- 12 - 12 - 10 - 10 
Adjusted EBITDA834 950 (129) 1,655 938 671 (114) 1,495 
(1)Includes inter-segment eliminations.
  
Segment information - Retail  
 Three months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   North
America
 
International
 
Retail
 North
America
 
International
 
Retail
 
Sales- external1,582 424 2,006 1,743 551 2,294 
  - inter-segment5 - 5 1 - 1 
Total sales1,587 424 2,011 1,744 551 2,295 
Cost of product sold1,184 333 1,517 1,321 432 1,753 
Gross profit403 91 494 423 119 542 
Expenses            
 Selling362 75 437 374 96 470 
 General and administrative17 8 25 20 11 31 
 Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures1 - 1 (1)(1)(2)
 Other (income) expenses(30)(3)(33)(11)3 (8)
Earnings before income taxes53 11 64 41 10 51 
 Depreciation and amortization59 6 65 71 8 79 
EBITDA112 17 129 112 18 130 
Adjusted EBITDA112 17 129 112 18 130 
             
Segment information - Retail  
 Nine months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   North
America
 
International
 
Retail
 North
America
 
International
 
Retail
 
Sales- external8,760 1,650 10,410 8,967 1,946 10,913 
  - inter-segment24 - 24 11 - 11 
Total sales8,784 1,650 10,434 8,978 1,946 10,924 
Cost of product sold6,973 1,332 8,305 7,072 1,574 8,646 
Gross profit1,811 318 2,129 1,906 372 2,278 
Expenses            
 Selling1,196 244 1,440 1,225 284 1,509 
 General and administrative57 26 83 60 34 94 
 Earnings from associates and joint ventures(2)(1)(3)(4)(3)(7)
 Other income(18)(19)(37)(7)(21)(28)
Earnings before income taxes578 68 646 632 78 710 
 Depreciation and amortization168 20 188 203 25 228 
EBITDA746 88 834 835 103 938 
Adjusted EBITDA746 88 834 835 103 938 
             
Segment information - Wholesale  
 Three months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   
Nitrogen
 
Potash
 
Phosphate
 Wholesale
Other (1
)
Wholesale
 
Nitrogen
 
Potash
 
Phosphate
 Wholesale
Other (1
)
Wholesale
 
Sales- external226 90 116 86 518 257 61 99 209 626 
  - inter-segment69 17 53 16 155 64 18 74 21 177 
Total sales295 107 169 102 673 321 79 173 230 803 
Cost of product sold165 65 138 87 455 244 77 142 213 676 
Gross profit130 42 31 15 218 77 2 31 17 127 
Expenses                    
 Selling4 1 1 3 9 5 2 2 4 13 
 General and administrative5 2 1 3 11 3 2 2 3 10 
 Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures- - - 9 9 - - - (7)(7)
 Other expenses (income)6 7 3 (1)15 6 4 1 - 11 
Earnings (loss) before income taxes115 32 26 1 174 63 (6)26 17 100 
 Depreciation and amortization16 16 13 2 47 23 19 12 4 58 
EBITDA131 48 39 3 221 86 13 38 21 158 
Share of joint ventures                    
 Finance costs and income taxes1 - - - 1 7 - - 1 8 
 Depreciation and amortization4 - - - 4 5 - - - 5 
Adjusted EBITDA136 48 39 3 226 98 13 38 22 171 
(1)Includes product purchased for resale, ammonium sulfate, ESN and other products.
  
Segment information - Wholesale  
 Nine months ended September 30, 
   2015 2014 
   
Nitrogen
 
Potash
 
Phosphate
 Wholesale
Other (1
)
Wholesale
 
Nitrogen
 
Potash
 
Phosphate
 Wholesale
Other (1
)
Wholesale
 
Sales- external859 227 344 548 1,978 813 267 321 1,023 2,424 
  - inter-segment304 113 198 121 736 265 115 180 92 652 
Total sales1,163 340 542 669 2,714 1,078 382 501 1,115 3,076 
Cost of product sold620 223 437 573 1,853 810 262 462 1,017 2,551 
Gross profit543 117 105 96 861 268 120 39 98 525 
Expenses                    
 Selling12 4 3 10 29 11 6 5 12 34 
 General and administrative10 5 4 8 27 9 7 7 10 33 
 Loss (earnings) from associates and joint ventures- - - 12 12 - - - (17)(17)
 Other expenses (income)12 18 16 (39)7 (18)15 10 (1)6 
Earnings before income taxes509 90 82 105 786 266 92 17 94 469 
 Depreciation and amortization54 43 37 12 146 65 50 38 19 172 
EBITDA563 133 119 117 932 331 142 55 113 641 
Share of joint ventures                    
 Finance costs and income taxes6 - - - 6 19 - - 1 20 
 Depreciation and amortization12 - - - 12 10 - - - 10 
Adjusted EBITDA581 133 119 117 950 360 142 55 114 671 
(1)Includes product purchased for resale, ammonium sulfate, ESN and other products.
  
Gross profit by product line    
 Three months ended September 30, Nine months ended September 30, 
  2015 2014 2015 2014 
  

Sales
 Cost of
product
sold
 
Gross
profit
 

Sales
 Cost of
product
sold
 
Gross
profit
 

Sales
 Cost of
product
sold
 
Gross
profit
 

Sales
 Cost of
product
sold
 
Gross
profit
 
Retail                        
 Crop nutrients582 469 113 646 504 142 4,101 3,408 693 4,250 3,475 775 
 Crop protection products1,040 806 234 1,132 900 232 4,002 3,203 799 4,061 3,267 794 
 Seed60 34 26 54 27 27 1,350 1,120 230 1,390 1,121 269 
 Merchandise166 141 25 256 220 36 482 410 72 660 576 84 
 Services and other163 67 96 207 102 105 499 164 335 563 207 356 
  2,011 1,517 494 2,295 1,753 542 10,434 8,305 2,129 10,924 8,646 2,278 
Wholesale                        
 Nitrogen295 165 130 321 244 77 1,163 620 543 1,078 810 268 
 Potash107 65 42 79 77 2 340 223 117 382 262 120 
 Phosphate169 138 31 173 142 31 542 437 105 501 462 39 
 Product purchased for resale49 47 2 165 159 6 345 335 10 744 722 22 
 Ammonium sulfate, ESN and other53 40 13 65 54 11 324 238 86 371 295 76 
  673 455 218 803 676 127 2,714 1,853 861 3,076 2,551 525 
Other inter-segment eliminations(160)(144)(16)(178)(174)(4)(760)(758)(2)(663)(680)17 
Total2,524 1,828 696 2,920 2,255 665 12,388 9,400 2,988 13,337 10,517 2,820 
                          
Wholesale share of joint ventures                        
 Nitrogen57 58 (1)73 56 17 123 119 4 149 109 40 
 Product purchased for resale- - - 24 20 4 38 37 1 62 56 6 
  57 58 (1)97 76 21 161 156 5 211 165 46 
Total Wholesale including proportionate share in joint ventures 
730
 
 
 
513
 
 
 
217
 
 
 
900
 
 
 
752
 
 
 
148
 
 
 
2,875
 
 
 
2,009
 
 
 
866
 
 
 
3,287
 
 
 
2,716
 
 
 
571
 
 
                         
Selected volumes and per tonne information  
 Three months ended September 30, 
    2015 2014 
    
Sales
tonnes
(000's
)
Selling
price
($/tonne
)Cost of
product
sold
($/tonne
)

Margin
($/tonne
)
Sales
tonnes
(000's
)
Selling
price
($/tonne
)Cost of
product
sold
($/tonne
)

Margin
($/tonne
)
Retail                
 Crop nutrients                
  North America777 557 429 128 785 571 420 151 
  International342 437 395 42 386 511 453 58 
 Total crop nutrients1,119 520 418 102 1,171 551 431 120 
                    
Wholesale                
 Nitrogen                
  North America                
   Ammonia219 476     207 544     
   Urea378 380     320 436     
   Other163 289     208 335     
 Total nitrogen760 388 217 171 735 438 333 105 
                    
 Potash                
  North America147 341     138 395     
  International237 241     113 212     
 Total potash384 279 171 108 251 313 304 9 
                    
 Phosphate269 629 514 115 261 663 546 117 
 Product purchased for resale111 444 424 20 455 361 349 12 
 Ammonium sulfate62 296 134 162 67 330 203 127 
 ESN and other81       87       
Total Wholesale1,667 404 273 131 1,856 433 365 68 
                    
Wholesale share of joint ventures                
 Nitrogen142 401 413 (12)165 440 339 101 
 Product purchased for resale- - - - 73 329 269 60 
  142 401 413 (12)238 406 317 89 
Total Wholesale including proportionate share in joint ventures
1,809
 
404
 
284
 
120
 
2,094
 
429
 
358
 
71
 
                 
Selected volumes and per tonne information   
 Nine months ended September 30, 
    2015 2014 
    
Sales
tonnes
(000's
)
Selling
price
($/tonne
)Cost of
product
sold
($/tonne
)

Margin
($/tonne
)
Sales
tonnes
(000's
)
Selling
price
($/tonne
)Cost of
product
sold
($/tonne
)

Margin
($/tonne
)
Retail                
 Crop nutrients                
  North America6,356 542 441 101 6,346 547 435 112 
  International1,516 432 399 33 1,570 496 454 42 
 Total crop nutrients7,872 521 433 88 7,916 537 439 98 
                    
Wholesale                
 Nitrogen                
  North America                
   Ammonia835 544     709 547     
   Urea1,197 407     945 448     
   Other712 310     779 343     
 Total nitrogen2,744 424 226 198 2,433 443 333 110 
                    
 Potash                
  North America630 369     802 359     
  International448 240     443 212     
 Total potash1,078 316 208 108 1,245 307 210 97 
                    
 Phosphate841 645 520 125 837 599 553 46 
 Product purchased for resale941 366 356 10 1,943 383 372 11 
 Ammonium sulfate240 345 146 199 265 334 179 155 
 ESN and other501       549       
Total Wholesale6,345 428 292 136 7,272 423 351 72 
                    
Wholesale share of joint ventures                
 Nitrogen308 400 388 12 351 424 311 113 
 Product purchased for resale117 321 309 12 225 275 246 29 
  425 378 366 12 576 366 286 80 
Total Wholesale including proportionate share in joint ventures
6,770
 
425
 
297
 
128
 
7,848
 
419
 
346
 
73
 

3. Expenses

 Three months ended Nine months ended 
Other expensesSeptember 30, September 30, 
 2015 2014 2015 2014 
Loss (gain) on derivatives not designated as hedges, net of foreign exchange
13
 
21
 
13
 
(16
)
Interest income(19)(31)(52)(61)
Gain on sale of purchase for resale assets- - (38)- 
Environmental remediation and asset retirement obligations
6
 
1
 
15
 
21
 
Bad debt (recovery) expense(4)- 28 30 
Potash profit and capital tax3 3 13 9 
Other9 13 22 26 
 8 7 1 9 

4.  Earnings per Share

Attributable to equity holders of AgriumThree months ended
September 30,
 
 
Nine months ended
September 30,
 
 
 2015 2014 2015 2014 
Numerator        
 Net earnings from continuing operations101 91 787 726 
 Net loss from discontinued operations- (41)- (59)
 Net earnings101 50 787 667 
Denominator (millions)        
 Weighted average number of shares outstanding for basic and diluted earnings per share
141
 
144
 
143
 
144
 

5. Debt

     September 30, December 31,
     2015 2014
 Maturity Rate (%) (1)   
Short-term debt       
 Commercial paper2015 - 2016 0.65 1,657 1,117
 Credit facilities  5.53 125 410
     1,782 1,527
(1)Weighted average rates at September 30, 2015.
  
Debentures issued during the three months ended March 31, 2015    
MaturityRate (%)Principal 
March 15, 20253.375 550 
March 15, 20354.125 450 

6. Financial Instruments 

Commodity price risk                        

Natural gas derivative financial instruments outstanding (notional amounts in millions of MMBtu)

 September 30, December 31, 
 2015 2014 
 

Notional
 

Maturities
 Average
contract
price (1
)Fair value
of assets
(liabilities
)

Notional
 

Maturities
 Average
contract
price (1
)Fair value
of assets
(liabilities
)
Not designated as hedges                
 NYMEX swaps- - - - 1 2015 3.83 (1)
 AECO swaps- - - - 10 2015 3.40 (10)
       -       (11)
Designated as hedges                
 AECO swaps86 2015 - 2018 2.81 (50)69 2015 - 2018 3.32 (25)
       (50)      (25)
(1)U.S. dollars per MMBtu.
  
 Fair value of assets (liabilities) 
Maturities of natural gas derivative contracts2015 2016 2017 2018 
Designated as hedges(4)(18)(15)(13)
         
Impact of change in fair value of natural gas derivative financial instrumentsSeptember 30, December 31, 
 2015 2014 
A $10-million impact to net earnings requires movement in gas prices per MMBtu- 1.23 
A $10-million impact to other comprehensive income requires movement in gas prices per MMBtu1.72 0.19 
     
         
Use of derivatives to hedge exposure to natural gas market price risk 
Term (gas year - 12 months ending October 31)2015 2016 2017 2018 
Maximum allowable (% of forecasted gas requirements)75 75 75 25 (1)
Forecasted average monthly natural gas consumption (millions of MMBtu)8 9 9 9 
Gas requirements hedged using derivatives designated as hedges (%)56 25 25 17 
(1)Maximum monthly hedged volume may not exceed 90 percent of planned monthly requirements.

For our natural gas derivatives designated in hedging relationships, the underlying risk of the forward contracts is identical to the hedged risk, and accordingly we have established a hedge ratio of 1:1. Due to a strong correlation between AECO future contract prices and our delivered cost, we did not experience any ineffectiveness on our hedges, and accordingly we have recorded the full change in the fair value of natural gas forward contracts designated as hedges to other comprehensive income.

Currency risk

Foreign exchange derivative financial instruments outstanding (notional amounts in millions of U.S. dollars)

 September 30, December 31, 
   2015 2014 
Sell/Buy

Notional
 

Maturities
 Average
contract
price(1
)Fair value
of assets
(liabilities
)

Notional
 

Maturities
 Average
contract
price(1
)Fair value
of assets
(liabilities
)
Not designated as hedges                
 Forwards                
  USD/CAD20 2015 1.34 - - - - - 
  CAD/USD1,812 2015 1.33 18 1,675 2015 1.14 31 
  USD/AUD26 2015 1.45 - 33 2015 1.13 (3)
 Swaps                
  USD/AUD1 2015 1.33 1 26 2015 1.12 (1)
  AUD/USD1 2015 1.37 - 21 2015 1.13 2 
 Options                
  USD/CAD - buy USD puts130 2015 1.23 - - - - - 
  USD/CAD - sell USD calls (2)135 2015 1.31 (4)- - - - 
         15       29 
(1)Foreign currency per U.S. dollar.
(2)Includes $85-million notional of enhanced collars.
  
  September 30, December 31,
 2015 2014
 Fair value   Fair value   
Financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basisLevel 1 Level 2 Carrying value Level 1 Level 2 Carrying value 
Cash and cash equivalents- 753 753 - 848 848 
Accounts receivable - derivatives- 19 19 - 33 33 
Other current financial assets - marketable securities
19
 
119
 
138
 
20
 
70
 
90
 
Accounts payable - derivatives- 22 22 - 18 18 
Other financial liabilities - derivatives- 32 32 - 22 22 
              
Other financial instruments            
Current portion of long-term debt            
 Floating rate debt - amortized cost- 11 11 - 11 11 
Long-term debt            
 Debentures - amortized cost- 4,632 4,469 - 3,879 3,483 
 Fixed and floating rate debt - amortized cost
-
 
48
 
48
 
-
 
76
 
76
 

There have been no transfers between Level 1 and Level 2 fair value measurements in the nine months ended September 30, 2015 or September 30, 2014. We do not measure any of our financial instruments using Level 3 inputs.

7. Additional Information 

Dividends

September 30,
2015
Declared     
EffectivePer share Total Paid to Shareholders Total
December 11, 20140.78 112 January 21, 2015 109 
February 24, 20150.78 112 April 16, 2015 114 
May 5, 20150.875 125 July 16, 2015 122 
August 6, 20150.875 120 October 15, 2015 N/A 

In May 2015, our Board of Directors approved an increase to our dividend to $3.50 U.S. per common share on an annualized basis.

Normal course issuer bid

In January 2015, the Toronto Stock Exchange accepted our Normal Course Issuer Bid ("NCIB"). Under the NCIB, we may purchase for cancellation up to 5 percent of our currently issued and outstanding common shares until January 25, 2016. The actual number of shares purchased will be at Agrium's discretion and will depend on market conditions, share prices, Agrium's cash position and other factors. During the nine months ended September 30, 2015, we purchased 5,574,331 shares at an average share price of $100.25 for total consideration of $559-million.

Agrium Inc.
Investor/Media Relations:
Richard Downey
(403) 225-7357
Vice President, Investor & Corporate Relations

Agrium Inc.
Todd Coakwell
Director, Investor Relations
(403) 225-7437

Agrium Inc.
Louis Brown
Analyst, Investor Relations
(403) 225-7761
www.agrium.com


Source: Marketwired (November 5, 2015 - 7:31 AM EST)

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