Birol believes rebalance is now coming in 2H of 2018 Back in July—on the U.S.’s Independence Day—Fatih Birol, the chief of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said he believed the oil market would rebalance in the second half of 2017, “but further output increases among key producers such as Nigeria and Libya could hamper this process,” Reuters reported from Birol’s
The latest Oil Market Report by IEA suggests that the global demand growth for oil has been revised upwards to 1.6 million BOPD. This number has already included the effects of Hurricanes Irma and Harvey on the U.S. energy demand. Demand up, supply down “Global oil demand grew very strongly year-on-year in 2Q17, by 2.3 mb/d (2.4%). For 2017, we have
International oil prices are contingent upon both the worldwide growth in oil production and the worldwide growth in oil inventories. Understanding the balance of these movements, and interpreting those movement is undertaken by the Energy Information Agency (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA), in order to better evaluate and predict oil price movements. In the U.S., and across the
U.S. crude oil stocks at this point in 2017 have dropped below the record highs of 2016. But inventories are still high. So in the face of predicted increasing oil production from shale in 2017, rebalancing inventories will be difficult, if it is even possible. However, a rebalance is still plausible according to an RBC Capital Markets report that identified
Lower demand for coal will make natural gas an increasingly important fuel The International Energy Agency (IEA) released its annual World Energy Outlook Wednesday, saying natural gas will play an increasingly important role in the mix of global fuels through to 2040. Renewables will also play a leading role moving forward, but to what extent will depend on how countries
Supply and demand beginning to cool as oversupply shrinks – IEA, OPEC weigh in The International Energy Agency sees supply and demand coming into balance during the third quarter of the year, according to its August Oil Market Report. From July through September, demand will outpace the supply of crude oil by almost 1 MMBOPD, even as OPEC producers continue
In the last two days, three reports have been released with current data and predictions for the oil market moving forward. Yesterday, the Oil Market Reports for July were released from both OPEC and IEA, as well as the crude oil storage report from API. This morning brought the Weekly Petroleum Status Report from EIA. This smorgasbord of data has
Middle East Oil will account for Most of the World’s Demand Growth IEA Believes An updated analysis from the International Energy Agency (IEA) has determined that the current oil price environment has boosted the share of oil produced in the Middle East. At 31 million barrels per day, the region now accounts for 35% of global oil supplies, the highest
Oil surplus about 40% smaller than thought a month ago The global glut of oil is shrinking, and the oil surplus is smaller than it was believed to be a month ago, according to the IEA’s June Oil Market Report. The oil surplus in the first half of 2016 is 800 MBOPD, about 40% smaller than estimated in May, and
Production overhang beginning to slow, but “sustainable price recovery more likely a 2017 event”: Wells Fargo Oil prices continued their gains today as a report from the IEA indicated that prices may have finally bottomed out, and are beginning to recover. In the agency’s March Oil Market Report (OMR), the IEA noted that oil supplies decreased by 180 MBOPD in
U.S. light tight oil production expected to fall 600 MBOPD in 2016 Oil prices are up more than 7% and 5% for WTI and Brent crude, respectively, today as news from the International Energy Agency forecasts production falling amid a global glut that has seen crude oil prices shed 70% of their value. The IEA still anticipates that overall global
Global output falling despite higher OPEC production; Wells Fargo’s Read looks for a deficit 2H2016 The International Energy Agency released its Oil Market Report for February, showing lower levels of production globally, despite higher output from members of OPEC. According to the release from the IEA today, global oil supply dropped 0.2 MMBOPD to 96.5 MMBOPD despite a production increase
